Portland
W-L: (18-15) PR = 94.5267Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 H Montana St BS (25- 8, 95.1) 72-86 1118 H USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 51-78 1121 H Idaho St BS (18-11, 94.2) 57-58 1123 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 61-66 1129 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 65-52 1130 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 73-58 1206 H BYU B12 (24-12, 96.1) 53-87 1211 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 94-58 1218 H Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 59-85 1221 A Portland St BS ( 5-25, 92.0) 98-53 1228 A Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 63-59 1230 H San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 64-67 102 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 62-49 104 A Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 74-53 110 H Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 55-69 115 A Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 73-66 117 A Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 83-57 122 H Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 68-77 124 H Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 68-86 129 A Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 68-42 131 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 64-59 207 A Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 53-50 212 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 68-61 214 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 66-77 219 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 54-64 221 A Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 65-61 226 H Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 63-70 228 A Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 92-91 307 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 72-62 308 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 50-60 319 A Sam Houston CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 62-59 322 A Lamar SL (19-11, 93.7) 78-68 326 H Montana St BS (25- 8, 95.1) 54-72
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Montana St 72-86 -14 -1 -1.39
1118 H USC 51-78 -27 -2 0.00
1121 H Idaho St 57-58 -1 0 -1.36
1123 H Hawaii 61-66 -5 0 - -2.31
1129 A Nevada 65-52 13 1 0.72
1130 A Ea Wash 73-58 15 1 0.80
1206 H BYU 53-87 -34 -2 -0.43
1211 A LB St 94-58 36 3 0.00
1218 H Oregon 59-85 -26 -2 0.00
1221 A Portland St 98-53 45 2 0.00
1228 A Saint Marys 63-59 4 1 1.35
1230 H San Fran 64-67 -3 0 - -2.07
102 A Wash St 62-49 13 1 1.07
104 A Pacific 74-53 21 1 1.21
110 H Gonzaga 55-69 -14 -1 -0.94
115 A Santa Clara 73-66 7 -1 + 2.62
117 A Seattle 83-57 26 3 0.00
122 H Loyola Marym 68-77 -9 0 -1.83
124 H Pepperdine 68-86 -18 0 - -2.04
129 A Saint Marys 68-42 26 1 1.35
131 A San Diego 64-59 5 1 0.76
207 A Oregon State 53-50 3 -1 + 2.77
212 A Wash St 68-61 7 1 1.07
214 H Santa Clara 66-77 -11 -1 -1.40
219 H Oregon State 54-64 -10 -1 -1.25
221 A Seattle 65-61 4 3 0.00
226 H Pepperdine 63-70 -7 0 - -2.04
228 A Gonzaga 92-91 1 -1 + 2.08
307 A Wash St 72-62 10 1 1.07
308 H Oregon State 50-60 -10 -1 -1.25
319 A Sam Houston 62-59 3 0 1.66
322 A Lamar 78-68 10 1 1.15
326 H Montana St 54-72 -18 -1 -1.39
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1123 H Hawaii 61-66 -5 0 - -2.31 1230 H San Fran 64-67 -3 0 - -2.07 124 H Pepperdine 68-86 -18 0 - -2.04 226 H Pepperdine 63-70 -7 0 - -2.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 A Santa Clara 73-66 7 -1 + 2.62 207 A Oregon State 53-50 3 -1 + 2.77 228 A Gonzaga 92-91 1 -1 + 2.08 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Montana St (25- 8, 95.1) 72-86 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.92 -2.19
3 H USC (18-14, 96.8) 51-78 -3.05 7.91 -0.01 0.92 -1.41
3 H Idaho St (18-11, 94.2) 57-58 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 0.92 -2.64
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 61-66 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 0.92 -2.62
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 65-52 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.92 7.92
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 73-58 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.92 8.07
3 H BYU (24-12, 96.1) 53-87 -3.79 7.17 -0.01 0.92 -1.75
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 94-58 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.92 5.23
3 H Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 59-85 -2.88 8.08 -0.01 0.92 -1.33
3 A Portland St ( 5-25, 92.0) 98-53 -7.87 3.09 0.01 0.92 5.70
3 A Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 63-59 -6.03 4.93 0.01 0.92 9.09
3 H San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 64-67 -5.44 5.52 -0.01 0.92 -2.51
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 62-49 -6.31 4.65 0.01 0.92 8.57
3 A Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 74-53 -6.17 4.79 0.01 0.92 8.83
3 H Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 55-69 -4.31 6.65 -0.01 0.92 -1.99
3 A Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 73-66 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.92 11.42
3 A Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 83-57 -8.10 2.86 0.01 0.92 5.28
3 H Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 68-77 -5.19 5.77 -0.01 0.92 -2.39
3 H Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 68-86 -5.40 5.56 -0.01 0.92 -2.49
3 A Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 68-42 -6.03 4.93 0.01 0.92 9.09
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 64-59 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.92 8.00
3 A Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 53-50 -4.61 6.35 0.01 0.92 11.70
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 68-61 -6.31 4.65 0.01 0.92 8.57
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 66-77 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.92 -2.19
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 54-64 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 0.92 -2.12
3 A Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 65-61 -8.10 2.86 0.01 0.92 5.28
3 H Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 63-70 -5.40 5.56 -0.01 0.92 -2.49
3 A Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 92-91 -4.31 6.65 0.01 0.92 12.25
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 72-62 -6.31 4.65 0.01 0.92 8.57
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 50-60 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 0.92 -2.12
3 A Sam Houston (16-13, 94.2) 62-59 -5.73 5.23 0.01 0.92 9.64
3 A Lamar (19-11, 93.7) 78-68 -6.23 4.73 0.01 0.92 8.72
3 H Montana St (25- 8, 95.1) 54-72 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.92 -2.19
------
119.51
|
winning pts = 151.9356 losing points = -32.4216
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------